← Точный счёт

Консенсус · Точный счёт

Взвешенное голосование всех нейросетей по уверенности: имитация ставок $100/матч (исполнимый кэф) + хит-рейт.

Имитация ставок ($100 на матч)

Оборот (вложено)

$3300

вернулось $2176

Нужный банк (реж. B)

$1,100

пик капитала · заморозка ~27ч/ставку · оборот ×3.0

Баланс (P&L)

$-1124

ROI на банк -102.2% · от оборота -34.1%

Сыграно ставок

2 побед · 31 пораж.

Лучший выигрыш

+$1076

Blackburn — 2–1 @ 11.76

В игре

ждут результата

Рынок на Polymarket

матчей с рынком

Ставим за ~24ч

$-1124

ROI -34.1%

Ставим за ~5 мин

$-1189

ROI -36.0%

Лучший момент

$-1050

ROI -31.8% · потолок

Сыграно (33)

Матч	Прогноз	Счёт	Итог	кэф 24ч	кэф 5мин	лучший	P&L (24ч)	Баланс
24 OCT 14:00 Blackburn – Wrexham England — Championship	1–1	2–0	✗	6.66	6.66	6.66 1439м	$-100	$-1124
24 OCT 14:00 Cardiff – Birmingham England — Championship	1–2	1–0	✗	10.0	10.0	11.11 85м	$-100	$-1024
24 OCT 14:00 Lincoln – Burnley England — Championship	1–2	4–1	✗	10.0	10.0	10.0 1439м	$-100	$-924
24 OCT 14:00 Preston – West Brom England — Championship	0–1	1–1	✗	8.33	8.33	8.69 1418м	$-100	$-824
24 OCT 14:00 Stoke City – Bristol City England — Championship	1–0	0–0	✗	9.52	8.34	10.0 705м	$-100	$-724
24 OCT 14:00 West Ham – Southampton England — Championship	1–1	2–3	✗	9.09	9.09	9.53 1265м	$-100	$-624
24 OCT 14:00 Wolves – Watford England — Championship	2–0	1–0	✗	8.0	9.09	9.09 45м	$-100	$-524
24 OCT 11:30 Charlton – Norwich England — Championship	1–1	1–3	✗	7.41	7.69	7.69 209м	$-100	$-424
24 OCT 11:30 Portsmouth – Millwall England — Championship	1–1	2–1	✗	6.89	7.15	7.15 1073м	$-100	$-324
23 OCT 19:00 Bolton – Middlesbrough England — Championship	1–2	1–5	✗	9.09	9.09	9.09 698м	$-100	$-224
20 OCT 18:45 Wolves – Portsmouth England — Championship	2–1	1–1	✗	9.09	9.09	9.09 624м	$-100	$-124
14 OCT 19:00 Lincoln – West Ham England — Championship	1–2	0–6	✗	9.09	9.09	9.09 1439м	$-100	$-24
14 OCT 18:45 Norwich – Southampton England — Championship	1–2	0–1	✗	11.11	11.11	11.76 1394м	$-100	+$76
14 OCT 18:45 Portsmouth – Sheffield Utd England — Championship	0–1	3–2	✗	11.11	11.11	11.11 1424м	$-100	+$176
13 OCT 19:00 Birmingham – Preston England — Championship	2–1	4–0	✗	9.09	9.09	9.09 565м	$-100	+$276
13 OCT 19:00 Stoke City – Middlesbrough England — Championship	1–2	2–3	✗	10.0	9.09	10.0 565м	$-100	+$376
13 OCT 18:45 Bristol City – Blackburn England — Championship	2–1	0–1	✗	10.0	10.0	10.0 550м	$-100	+$476
13 OCT 18:45 Burnley – Charlton England — Championship	2–0	2–2	✗	8.33	8.33	8.69 510м	$-100	+$576
13 OCT 18:45 Cardiff – Watford England — Championship	2–0	5–1	✗	11.76	12.5	12.5 56м	$-100	+$676
13 OCT 18:45 Millwall – Swansea England — Championship	1–0	0–1	✗	10.0	9.09	10.0 550м	$-100	+$776
13 OCT 18:45 Wolves – Bolton England — Championship	2–1	1–3	✗	9.09	9.09	9.09 550м	$-100	+$876
13 OCT 18:45 Wrexham – West Brom England — Championship	1–0	1–2	✗	8.34	7.69	8.34 550м	$-100	+$976
11 OCT 11:00 Southampton – Portsmouth England — Championship	2–1	1–0	✗	9.09	9.09	9.09 1433м	$-100	+$1076
10 OCT 14:00 Blackburn – Cardiff England — Championship	2–1	2–1	✓	11.76	11.11	12.5 1391м	+$1076	+$1176
10 OCT 14:00 Bolton – Stoke City England — Championship	1–0	1–2	✗	11.11	11.11	11.11 1412м	$-100	+$100
10 OCT 14:00 Derby – Wrexham England — Championship	1–2	1–1	✗	10.0	10.0	10.52 20м	$-100	+$200
10 OCT 14:00 Middlesbrough – Wolves England — Championship	2–1	1–0	✗	10.0	10.0	10.0 1412м	$-100	+$300
10 OCT 14:00 Preston – Millwall England — Championship	1–2	0–1	✗	10.53	10.0	10.53 1412м	$-100	+$400
10 OCT 14:00 Sheffield Utd – Lincoln England — Championship	1–0	3–0	✗	8.69	9.09	9.52 40м	$-100	+$500
10 OCT 14:00 Watford – Burnley England — Championship	1–2	0–4	✗	10.53	10.0	11.11 375м	$-100	+$600
10 OCT 11:30 Charlton – Bristol City England — Championship	0–1	1–1	✗	8.69	8.34	8.69 1425м	$-100	+$700
10 OCT 11:30 Swansea – Norwich England — Championship	2–1	2–1	✓	10.0	10.0	10.0 1425м	+$900	+$800
10 OCT 11:30 West Brom – Birmingham England — Championship	1–1	0–1	✗	6.89	6.67	7.15 1069м	$-100	$-100

«Макс. ставка» — сколько можно влить в этот исход по стакану Polymarket, не сдвинув среднюю цену больше чем на 3% и не съев больше половины глубины (т.е. «не рушить картину»).

В игре — ставка сделана (0)

Открытых ставок нет.

Хит-рейт консенсуса (без денег)

Консенсус угадал

4.1%

2/49 матчей

Лучшая одиночная модель

8.1%

Gemini · 3/37

Консенсус vs модели

ниже лучшей

лучше 3 из 8

Матч	Счёт	Консенсус	Согласие	Итог
Wolves – Watford England — Championship	1–0	2–0	2/2	✗
West Ham – Southampton England — Championship	2–3	1–1	1/2	✗
Stoke City – Bristol City England — Championship	0–0	1–0	1/2	✗
QPR – Swansea England — Championship	5–0	0–1	1/2	✗
Preston – West Brom England — Championship	1–1	0–1	1/2	✗
Lincoln – Burnley England — Championship	4–1	1–2	2/2	✗
Cardiff – Birmingham England — Championship	1–0	1–2	1/1	✗
Blackburn – Wrexham England — Championship	2–0	1–1	1/2	✗
Sheffield Utd – Derby England — Championship	1–1	2–0	1/1	✗
Portsmouth – Millwall England — Championship	2–1	1–1	1/1	✗
Charlton – Norwich England — Championship	1–3	1–1	1/1	✗
Bolton – Middlesbrough England — Championship	1–5	1–2	6/8	✗
Wolves – Portsmouth England — Championship	1–1	2–1	1/2	✗
Wrexham – Preston England — Championship	4–1	2–1	4/8	✗
West Brom – Blackburn England — Championship	3–2	1–0	6/8	✗
Swansea – West Ham England — Championship	0–1	1–2	4/8	✗
Southampton – Bolton England — Championship	0–0	2–1	8/8	✗
Norwich – Portsmouth England — Championship	0–1	2–1	6/8	✗
Derby – Stoke City England — Championship	0–1	1–2	8/8	✗
Bristol City – Sheffield Utd England — Championship	0–1	1–0	6/8	✗
Birmingham – QPR England — Championship	3–0	1–0	4/8	✗
Watford – Charlton England — Championship	2–0	1–1	6/8	✗
Millwall – Lincoln England — Championship	2–2	2–0	7/8	✗
Middlesbrough – Cardiff England — Championship	2–2	2–1	8/8	✗
Burnley – Wolves England — Championship	1–2	1–1	3/7	✗
Lincoln – West Ham England — Championship	0–6	1–2	5/7	✗
QPR – Derby England — Championship	4–1	1–0	6/7	✗
Portsmouth – Sheffield Utd England — Championship	3–2	0–1	3/7	✗
Norwich – Southampton England — Championship	0–1	1–2	7/7	✗
Stoke City – Middlesbrough England — Championship	2–3	1–2	5/6	✗
Birmingham – Preston England — Championship	4–0	2–1	6/7	✗
Wrexham – West Brom England — Championship	1–2	1–0	6/7	✗
Wolves – Bolton England — Championship	1–3	2–1	5/7	✗
Millwall – Swansea England — Championship	0–1	1–0	3/7	✗
Cardiff – Watford England — Championship	5–1	2–0	3/7	✗
Burnley – Charlton England — Championship	2–2	2–0	7/7	✗
Bristol City – Blackburn England — Championship	0–1	2–1	6/7	✗
Southampton – Portsmouth England — Championship	1–0	2–1	5/7	✗
Watford – Burnley England — Championship	0–4	1–2	4/6	✗
Sheffield Utd – Lincoln England — Championship	3–0	1–0	4/6	✗
Preston – Millwall England — Championship	0–1	1–2	7/7	✗
Middlesbrough – Wolves England — Championship	1–0	2–1	7/7	✗
Derby – Wrexham England — Championship	1–1	1–2	4/7	✗
Bolton – Stoke City England — Championship	1–2	1–0	2/6	✗
Blackburn – Cardiff England — Championship	2–1	2–1	2/6	✓
West Brom – Birmingham England — Championship	0–1	1–1	4/7	✗
Swansea – Norwich England — Championship	2–1	2–1	7/7	✓
Charlton – Bristol City England — Championship	1–1	0–1	6/7	✗
West Ham – QPR England — Championship	1–1	2–1	4/7	✗