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Консенсус · Точный счёт

Взвешенное голосование всех нейросетей по уверенности: имитация ставок $100/матч (исполнимый кэф) + хит-рейт.

Имитация ставок ($100 на матч)

Оборот (вложено)
$4900
вернулось $4644
Нужный банк (реж. B)
$1,200
пик капитала · заморозка ~27ч/ставку · оборот ×4.1
Баланс (P&L)
$-256
ROI на банк -21.3% · от оборота -5.2%
Сыграно ставок
49
5 побед · 44 пораж.
Лучший выигрыш
+$1011
Notts County — 1–2 @ 11.11
В игре
0
ждут результата
Рынок на Polymarket
49
матчей с рынком
Ставим за ~24ч
$-256
ROI -5.2%
Ставим за ~5 мин
+$28
ROI 0.6%
Лучший момент
+$28
ROI 0.6% · потолок

Сыграно (49)

МатчПрогнозСчётИтогкэф 24чкэф 5минлучшийP&L (24ч)Баланс
27 OCT 19:45 Leicester – Wigan England — League One
2–1 3–0 ✗ 9.529.09 9.52
1415м
$-100 $-256
27 OCT 19:45 Milton Keynes Dons – Bromley England — League One
2–0 4–1 ✗ 10.539.09 10.53
1435м
$-100 $-156
27 OCT 19:45 Luton – Doncaster England — League One
2–0 3–1 ✗ 10.5311.11 11.11
86м
$-100 $-56
27 OCT 19:45 Oxford United – Stockport County England — League One
0–1 1–0 ✗ 10.5311.11 11.76
893м
$-100 +$44
27 OCT 19:45 Sheffield Wednesday – Cambridge United England — League One
2–1 1–1 ✗ 9.099.09 9.09
1435м
$-100 +$144
24 OCT 14:00 AFC Wimbledon – Wycombe England — League One
1–2 1–1 ✗ 9.099.09 9.09
1439м
$-100 +$244
24 OCT 14:00 Blackpool – Mansfield Town England — League One
1–1 1–4 ✗ 8.07.69 8.0
1439м
$-100 +$344
24 OCT 14:00 Bromley – Peterborough England — League One
1–2 1–1 ✗ 10.5310.0 10.53
1439м
$-100 +$444
24 OCT 14:00 Burton Albion – Leyton Orient England — League One
1–0 2–1 ✗ 10.011.11 11.11
441м
$-100 +$544
24 OCT 14:00 Cambridge United – Plymouth England — League One
2–1 2–3 ✗ 10.010.0 10.0
1439м
$-100 +$644
24 OCT 14:00 Doncaster – Sheffield Wednesday England — League One
1–2 2–0 ✗ 10.010.0 10.0
1439м
$-100 +$744
24 OCT 14:00 Notts County – Stockport County England — League One
0–1 1–1 ✗ 7.698.33 8.33
55м
$-100 +$844
24 OCT 14:00 Oxford United – Bradford England — League One
0–1 0–0 ✗ 9.5311.11 11.11
24м
$-100 +$944
24 OCT 14:00 Reading – Barnsley England — League One
2–1 2–1 ✓ 9.0910.0 10.0
34м
+$809 +$1044
24 OCT 14:00 Stevenage – Milton Keynes Dons England — League One
2–1 0–1 ✗ 9.5210.0 10.0
1325м
$-100 +$235
24 OCT 11:30 Huddersfield – Wigan England — League One
2–0 2–1 ✗ 7.698.33 8.33
7м
$-100 +$335
24 OCT 11:30 Luton – Leicester England — League One
2–1 2–1 ✓ 10.010.0 10.0
1432м
+$900 +$435
21 OCT 19:00 Reading – Leyton Orient England — League One
2–0 1–0 ✗ 9.099.09 9.09
863м
$-100 $-465
20 OCT 18:45 AFC Wimbledon – Mansfield Town England — League One
0–1 0–3 ✗ 10.010.0 10.0
624м
$-100 $-365
20 OCT 18:45 Blackpool – Milton Keynes Dons England — League One
1–1 2–0 ✗ 7.697.69 7.69
624м
$-100 $-265
20 OCT 18:45 Bromley – Leicester England — League One
1–2 0–4 ✗ 8.699.09 9.09
552м
$-100 $-165
20 OCT 18:45 Burton Albion – Bradford England — League One
0–1 0–0 ✗ 8.08.33 8.33
593м
$-100 $-65
20 OCT 18:45 Cambridge United – Wycombe England — League One
2–1 2–2 ✗ 10.010.0 10.0
624м
$-100 +$35
20 OCT 18:45 Doncaster – Stockport County England — League One
1–2 0–2 ✗ 9.099.09 9.09
624м
$-100 +$135
20 OCT 18:45 Huddersfield – Peterborough England — League One
2–1 4–1 ✗ 9.529.09 9.52
624м
$-100 +$235
20 OCT 18:45 Luton – Barnsley England — League One
2–1 2–1 ✓ 9.099.09 9.09
624м
+$809 +$335
20 OCT 18:45 Notts County – Sheffield Wednesday England — League One
1–2 2–0 ✗ 10.010.0 10.0
624м
$-100 $-474
20 OCT 18:45 Oxford United – Wigan England — League One
2–0 2–1 ✗ 11.1111.11 11.11
624м
$-100 $-374
20 OCT 18:45 Stevenage – Plymouth England — League One
1–1 3–0 ✗ 7.157.15 7.15
624м
$-100 $-274
15 OCT 19:00 Mansfield Town – Oxford United England — League One
1–2 1–1 ✗ 11.1111.11 11.11
1405м
$-100 $-174
10 OCT 14:00 Bradford – Leyton Orient England — League One
2–0 0–0 ✗ 9.098.33 9.09
1412м
$-100 $-74
10 OCT 14:00 Cambridge United – Blackpool England — League One
2–1 1–0 ✗ 9.529.09 10.0
1249м
$-100 +$26
10 OCT 14:00 Doncaster – Burton Albion England — League One
2–1 1–0 ✗ 9.099.09 9.09
1412м
$-100 +$126
10 OCT 14:00 Huddersfield – Sheffield Wednesday England — League One
2–1 2–2 ✗ 9.529.09 9.52
1412м
$-100 +$226
10 OCT 14:00 Leicester – Peterborough England — League One
2–1 1–3 ✗ 9.5210.0 10.0
761м
$-100 +$326
10 OCT 14:00 Mansfield Town – Bromley England — League One
1–0 2–1 ✗ 10.010.0 10.0
1412м
$-100 +$426
10 OCT 14:00 Milton Keynes Dons – Reading England — League One
1–1 1–5 ✗ 7.697.69 7.69
1412м
$-100 +$526
10 OCT 14:00 Stevenage – Wigan England — League One
2–1 1–0 ✗ 10.5310.0 10.53
1412м
$-100 +$626
10 OCT 14:00 Stockport County – Barnsley England — League One
2–1 3–1 ✗ 9.5210.0 10.0
61м
$-100 +$726
10 OCT 14:00 Wycombe – Luton England — League One
2–1 1–4 ✗ 11.7611.11 11.76
1412м
$-100 +$826
10 OCT 11:30 Notts County – Oxford United England — League One
1–2 1–2 ✓ 11.1112.5 12.5
134м
+$1011 +$926
10 OCT 11:30 Plymouth – AFC Wimbledon England — League One
2–0 2–1 ✗ 8.699.09 9.09
235м
$-100 $-85
3 OCT 14:00 Burton Albion – Huddersfield England — League One
1–2 1–3 ✗ 9.099.09 10.0
233м
$-100 +$15
3 OCT 14:00 Leyton Orient – Plymouth England — League One
1–2 0–2 ✗ 9.5210.0 10.0
335м
$-100 +$115
3 OCT 14:00 Reading – Bradford England — League One
1–1 1–1 ✓ 7.157.69 7.69
80м
+$615 +$215
26 SEP 14:00 Cambridge United – AFC Wimbledon England — League One
2–1 1–1 ✗ 9.529.09 9.52
1436м
$-100 $-400
26 SEP 14:00 Plymouth – Burton Albion England — League One
2–1 0–1 ✗ 8.698.33 8.69
1436м
$-100 $-300
26 SEP 14:00 Stockport County – Peterborough England — League One
2–1 1–0 ✗ 9.099.09 9.53
1075м
$-100 $-200
26 SEP 14:00 Wycombe – Reading England — League One
1–1 2–2 ✗ 8.07.69 8.0
1436м
$-100 $-100

«Макс. ставка» — сколько можно влить в этот исход по стакану Polymarket, не сдвинув среднюю цену больше чем на 3% и не съев больше половины глубины (т.е. «не рушить картину»).

В игре — ставка сделана (0)

Открытых ставок нет.

Хит-рейт консенсуса (без денег)

Консенсус угадал
11.7%
7/60 матчей
Лучшая одиночная модель
19.4%
Grok · 6/31
Консенсус vs модели
ниже лучшей
лучше 4 из 8
МатчСчётКонсенсусСогласиеИтог
Sheffield Wednesday – Cambridge United England — League One 1–12–12/2 ✗
Oxford United – Stockport County England — League One 1–00–11/2 ✗
Luton – Doncaster England — League One 3–12–01/2 ✗
Milton Keynes Dons – Bromley England — League One 4–12–02/2 ✗
Leicester – Wigan England — League One 3–02–12/2 ✗
Stevenage – Milton Keynes Dons England — League One 0–12–12/2 ✗
Reading – Barnsley England — League One 2–12–12/2 ✓
Oxford United – Bradford England — League One 0–00–11/2 ✗
Notts County – Stockport County England — League One 1–10–11/1 ✗
Doncaster – Sheffield Wednesday England — League One 2–01–21/1 ✗
Cambridge United – Plymouth England — League One 2–32–12/2 ✗
Burton Albion – Leyton Orient England — League One 2–11–01/2 ✗
Bromley – Peterborough England — League One 1–11–21/1 ✗
Blackpool – Mansfield Town England — League One 1–41–11/1 ✗
AFC Wimbledon – Wycombe England — League One 1–11–21/2 ✗
Luton – Leicester England — League One 2–12–11/1 ✓
Huddersfield – Wigan England — League One 2–12–01/1 ✗
Reading – Leyton Orient England — League One 1–02–05/8 ✗
Stevenage – Plymouth England — League One 3–01–11/2 ✗
Oxford United – Wigan England — League One 2–12–01/2 ✗
Notts County – Sheffield Wednesday England — League One 2–01–21/2 ✗
Luton – Barnsley England — League One 2–12–12/2 ✓
Huddersfield – Peterborough England — League One 4–12–12/2 ✗
Doncaster – Stockport County England — League One 0–21–21/2 ✗
Cambridge United – Wycombe England — League One 2–22–12/2 ✗
Burton Albion – Bradford England — League One 0–00–12/2 ✗
Bromley – Leicester England — League One 0–41–22/2 ✗
Blackpool – Milton Keynes Dons England — League One 2–01–11/2 ✗
AFC Wimbledon – Mansfield Town England — League One 0–30–12/2 ✗
Wycombe – Notts County England — League One 2–02–18/8 ✗
Wigan – Reading England — League One 1–00–26/8 ✗
Stockport County – Bromley England — League One 1–02–04/8 ✗
Sheffield Wednesday – AFC Wimbledon England — League One 5–01–05/8 ✗
Plymouth – Huddersfield England — League One 0–22–18/8 ✗
Leyton Orient – Blackpool England — League One 2–02–18/8 ✗
Leicester – Doncaster England — League One 2–12–15/8 ✓
Bradford – Stevenage England — League One 2–01–06/8 ✗
Barnsley – Cambridge United England — League One 1–21–28/8 ✓
Peterborough – Burton Albion England — League One 2–22–03/8 ✗
Milton Keynes Dons – Luton England — League One 2–11–28/8 ✗
Mansfield Town – Oxford United England — League One 1–11–25/7 ✗
Wycombe – Luton England — League One 1–42–14/7 ✗
Stockport County – Barnsley England — League One 3–12–15/7 ✗
Stevenage – Wigan England — League One 1–02–14/6 ✗
Milton Keynes Dons – Reading England — League One 1–51–14/6 ✗
Mansfield Town – Bromley England — League One 2–11–03/7 ✗
Leicester – Peterborough England — League One 1–32–15/7 ✗
Huddersfield – Sheffield Wednesday England — League One 2–22–16/6 ✗
Doncaster – Burton Albion England — League One 1–02–15/6 ✗
Cambridge United – Blackpool England — League One 1–02–17/7 ✗
Bradford – Leyton Orient England — League One 0–02–05/7 ✗
Plymouth – AFC Wimbledon England — League One 2–12–05/7 ✗
Notts County – Oxford United England — League One 1–21–27/7 ✓
Reading – Bradford England — League One 1–11–13/7 ✓
Leyton Orient – Plymouth England — League One 0–21–27/7 ✗
Burton Albion – Huddersfield England — League One 1–31–27/7 ✗
Wycombe – Reading England — League One 2–21–15/8 ✗
Stockport County – Peterborough England — League One 1–02–17/8 ✗
Plymouth – Burton Albion England — League One 0–12–17/8 ✗
Cambridge United – AFC Wimbledon England — League One 1–12–14/8 ✗
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