← Точный счёт

Консенсус · Точный счёт

Взвешенное голосование всех нейросетей по уверенности: имитация ставок $100/матч (исполнимый кэф) + хит-рейт.

Имитация ставок ($100 на матч)

Оборот (вложено)
$8900
вернулось $10008
Нужный банк (реж. B)
$1,700
пик капитала · заморозка ~27ч/ставку · оборот ×5.2
Баланс (P&L)
+$1108
ROI на банк +65.2% · от оборота 12.4%
Сыграно ставок
89
12 побед · 77 пораж.
Лучший выигрыш
+$1011
Norway — 1–2 @ 11.11
В игре
0
ждут результата
Рынок на Polymarket
89
матчей с рынком
Ставим за ~24ч
+$1108
ROI 12.4%
Ставим за ~5 мин
+$1034
ROI 11.6%
Лучший момент
+$1414
ROI 15.9% · потолок

Сыграно (89)

МатчПрогнозСчётИтогкэф 24чкэф 5минлучшийP&L (24ч)Баланс
6 OCT 18:45 Croatia – Spain UEFA Nations League
1–3 1–2 ✗ 11.1111.11 12.5
414м
 $-100 +$1108
6 OCT 18:45 England – Czechia UEFA Nations League
3–0 3–0 ✓ 7.417.69 7.69
1305м
 +$641 +$1208
6 OCT 18:45 Albania – San Marino UEFA Nations League
3–0 2–1 ✗ 6.895.88 6.89
1438м
 $-100 +$567
6 OCT 18:45 Belarus – Finland UEFA Nations League
1–2 1–0 ✗ 10.5310.0 11.11
221м
 $-100 +$667
6 OCT 18:45 Moldova – Slovakia UEFA Nations League
0–2 0–4 ✗ 7.417.15 7.69
1294м
 $-100 +$767
6 OCT 18:45 Estonia – Iceland UEFA Nations League
0–1 0–0 ✗ 7.417.15 7.41
1438м
 $-100 +$867
6 OCT 18:45 Luxembourg – Bulgaria UEFA Nations League
1–0 0–2 ✗ 6.256.66 6.66
842м
 $-100 +$967
6 OCT 18:45 Scotland – Slovenia UEFA Nations League
1–0 1–2 ✗ 6.256.25 6.45
1264м
 $-100 +$1067
6 OCT 14:00 Kazakhstan – Faroe Islands UEFA Nations League
1–1 2–2 ✗ 6.456.25 6.67
1407м
 $-100 +$1167
5 OCT 18:45 France – Belgium UEFA Nations League
2–0 4–1 ✗ 10.5310.0 10.53
1425м
 $-100 +$1267
5 OCT 18:45 Italy – Türkiye UEFA Nations League
2–0 3–1 ✗ 9.529.09 9.52
1425м
 $-100 +$1367
5 OCT 18:45 Ukraine – Hungary UEFA Nations League
1–0 1–2 ✗ 8.699.09 9.09
38м
 $-100 +$1467
5 OCT 18:45 Northern Ireland – Georgia UEFA Nations League
1–0 0–0 ✗ 6.96.66 6.9
1425м
 $-100 +$1567
5 OCT 18:45 Bosnia & Herzegovina – Poland UEFA Nations League
1–2 1–0 ✗ 10.5310.0 11.11
761м
 $-100 +$1667
5 OCT 18:45 Romania – Sweden UEFA Nations League
1–2 0–1 ✗ 9.099.09 9.09
1425м
 $-100 +$1767
5 OCT 18:45 Montenegro – Armenia UEFA Nations League
2–1 0–0 ✗ 9.098.34 9.09
1425м
 $-100 +$1867
5 OCT 16:00 Cyprus – Latvia UEFA Nations League
1–0 2–1 ✗ 6.676.25 6.89
1128м
 $-100 +$1967
4 OCT 18:45 Greece – Germany UEFA Nations League
1–2 0–0 ✗ 9.529.09 9.52
1436м
 $-100 +$2067
4 OCT 18:45 Netherlands – Serbia UEFA Nations League
2–0 2–1 ✗ 8.09.09 9.09
76м
 $-100 +$2167
4 OCT 18:45 Portugal – Norway UEFA Nations League
2–1 2–1 ✓ 9.5210.0 10.0
874м
 +$852 +$2267
4 OCT 18:45 Wales – Denmark UEFA Nations League
1–2 0–1 ✗ 10.09.09 10.0
1436м
 $-100 +$1415
4 OCT 16:00 Kosovo – Austria UEFA Nations League
1–2 1–1 ✗ 9.539.09 9.53
1436м
 $-100 +$1515
4 OCT 16:00 Malta – Andorra UEFA Nations League
1–0 1–0 ✓ 5.555.0 5.71
1311м
 +$455 +$1615
4 OCT 13:00 Azerbaijan – Lithuania UEFA Nations League
1–1 1–0 ✗ 7.156.67 7.15
1440м
 $-100 +$1160
3 OCT 18:45 Spain – Czechia UEFA Nations League
3–0 3–1 ✗ 6.677.69 7.69
26м
 $-100 +$1260
3 OCT 18:45 Switzerland – Slovenia UEFA Nations League
2–0 2–1 ✗ 6.255.88 6.25
1434м
 $-100 +$1360
3 OCT 16:00 Croatia – England UEFA Nations League
1–2 0–7 ✗ 9.099.09 9.09
1339м
 $-100 +$1460
3 OCT 16:00 Belarus – San Marino UEFA Nations League
3–0 4–0 ✗ 5.885.55 6.25
1259м
 $-100 +$1560
3 OCT 16:00 Iceland – Bulgaria UEFA Nations League
2–0 3–0 ✗ 7.697.69 8.34
46м
 $-100 +$1660
3 OCT 16:00 Estonia – Luxembourg UEFA Nations League
0–1 1–0 ✗ 7.697.14 7.69
1339м
 $-100 +$1760
3 OCT 13:00 Finland – Albania UEFA Nations League
1–0 2–1 ✗ 8.07.15 8.0
1434м
 $-100 +$1860
2 OCT 18:45 France – Italy UEFA Nations League
2–1 1–1 ✗ 9.529.09 9.52
1440м
 $-100 +$1960
2 OCT 18:45 Belgium – Türkiye UEFA Nations League
2–1 3–0 ✗ 9.099.09 9.52
1430м
 $-100 +$2060
2 OCT 18:45 Hungary – Georgia UEFA Nations League
1–0 1–0 ✓ 7.418.34 8.34
64м
 +$641 +$2160
2 OCT 18:45 Ukraine – Northern Ireland UEFA Nations League
1–0 0–3 ✗ 6.256.67 6.67
14м
 $-100 +$1519
2 OCT 18:45 Poland – Romania UEFA Nations League
2–1 6–0 ✗ 9.529.09 9.52
1440м
 $-100 +$1619
2 OCT 18:45 Bosnia & Herzegovina – Sweden UEFA Nations League
1–2 1–1 ✗ 11.1111.11 11.76
1430м
 $-100 +$1719
2 OCT 18:45 Faroe Islands – Slovakia UEFA Nations League
0–2 1–1 ✗ 7.148.33 8.69
24м
 $-100 +$1819
2 OCT 16:00 Cyprus – Armenia UEFA Nations League
2–1 2–0 ✗ 10.5310.0 10.53
1439м
 $-100 +$1919
2 OCT 16:00 Latvia – Montenegro UEFA Nations League
0–2 1–2 ✗ 9.099.09 9.09
1439м
 $-100 +$2019
2 OCT 14:00 Kazakhstan – Moldova UEFA Nations League
1–0 1–2 ✗ 6.895.88 6.89
1432м
 $-100 +$2119
1 OCT 18:45 Germany – Serbia UEFA Nations League
2–1 2–0 ✗ 10.5311.11 11.11
1338м
 $-100 +$2219
1 OCT 18:45 Greece – Netherlands UEFA Nations League
1–2 2–2 ✗ 10.010.0 10.0
1440м
 $-100 +$2319
1 OCT 18:45 Denmark – Portugal UEFA Nations League
1–2 2–4 ✗ 10.09.09 10.0
1440м
 $-100 +$2419
1 OCT 18:45 Wales – Norway UEFA Nations League
1–2 2–1 ✗ 9.099.09 9.09
1440м
 $-100 +$2519
1 OCT 18:45 Israel – Kosovo UEFA Nations League
1–2 0–0 ✗ 10.010.0 10.52
92м
 $-100 +$2619
1 OCT 18:45 Malta – Gibraltar UEFA Nations League
2–0 1–1 ✗ 5.715.27 5.88
308м
 $-100 +$2719
1 OCT 16:00 Azerbaijan – Liechtenstein UEFA Nations League
2–0 0–0 ✗ 5.714.54 5.71
1439м
 $-100 +$2819
29 SEP 18:45 Spain – Croatia UEFA Nations League
2–0 4–1 ✗ 7.418.34 8.34
38м
 $-100 +$2919
29 SEP 18:45 Czechia – England UEFA Nations League
1–2 0–2 ✗ 9.099.09 10.0
170м
 $-100 +$3019
29 SEP 18:45 San Marino – Albania UEFA Nations League
0–2 0–3 ✗ 6.066.67 6.67
108м
 $-100 +$3119
29 SEP 18:45 Slovakia – Kazakhstan UEFA Nations League
2–0 2–1 ✗ 6.256.25 6.45
170м
 $-100 +$3219
29 SEP 18:45 Bulgaria – Estonia UEFA Nations League
1–0 0–0 ✗ 6.066.25 6.25
873м
 $-100 +$3319
29 SEP 18:45 Luxembourg – Iceland UEFA Nations League
1–0 0–3 ✗ 10.5311.11 11.11
1357м
 $-100 +$3419
29 SEP 18:45 Scotland – Switzerland UEFA Nations League
0–1 0–3 ✗ 7.156.67 7.15
1440м
 $-100 +$3519
29 SEP 16:00 Finland – Belarus UEFA Nations League
2–1 0–0 ✗ 9.099.09 10.0
1037м
 $-100 +$3619
29 SEP 16:00 Moldova – Faroe Islands UEFA Nations League
1–1 1–1 ✓ 6.456.25 6.45
1431м
 +$545 +$3719
28 SEP 18:45 Belgium – France UEFA Nations League
1–2 0–1 ✗ 9.5210.0 10.0
1402м
 $-100 +$3174
28 SEP 18:45 Türkiye – Italy UEFA Nations League
0–1 1–4 ✗ 11.7612.5 12.5
1391м
 $-100 +$3274
28 SEP 18:45 Northern Ireland – Hungary UEFA Nations League
1–1 0–0 ✗ 6.676.67 6.67
1432м
 $-100 +$3374
28 SEP 18:45 Sweden – Poland UEFA Nations League
2–1 3–1 ✗ 9.539.09 9.53
1432м
 $-100 +$3474
28 SEP 18:45 Romania – Bosnia & Herzegovina UEFA Nations League
1–0 2–4 ✗ 8.6910.0 10.0
0м
 $-100 +$3574
28 SEP 16:00 Georgia – Ukraine UEFA Nations League
1–1 0–0 ✗ 6.896.67 6.89
1434м
 $-100 +$3674
28 SEP 16:00 Armenia – Montenegro UEFA Nations League
1–2 2–3 ✗ 11.1110.0 11.11
1434м
 $-100 +$3774
28 SEP 16:00 Latvia – Cyprus UEFA Nations League
1–1 0–0 ✗ 6.896.67 6.89
1434м
 $-100 +$3874
27 SEP 18:45 Germany – Greece UEFA Nations League
2–1 0–1 ✗ 9.099.09 9.52
1411м
 $-100 +$3974
27 SEP 18:45 Norway – Portugal UEFA Nations League
1–2 1–2 ✓ 11.1111.11 11.76
681м
 +$1011 +$4074
27 SEP 16:00 Serbia – Netherlands UEFA Nations League
1–2 1–2 ✓ 10.09.09 10.0
1431м
 +$900 +$3063
27 SEP 16:00 Denmark – Wales UEFA Nations League
2–0 2–0 ✓ 8.08.34 8.34
1411м
 +$700 +$2163
27 SEP 16:00 Austria – Kosovo UEFA Nations League
2–1 3–1 ✗ 9.099.09 9.09
1431м
 $-100 +$1463
27 SEP 16:00 Gibraltar – Andorra UEFA Nations League
1–0 0–0 ✗ 8.07.15 8.0
1431м
 $-100 +$1563
27 SEP 13:00 Lithuania – Azerbaijan UEFA Nations League
1–0 1–1 ✗ 6.896.25 7.15
1262м
 $-100 +$1663
26 SEP 18:45 England – Spain UEFA Nations League
1–2 2–3 ✗ 9.539.09 9.53
1432м
 $-100 +$1763
26 SEP 18:45 Czechia – Croatia UEFA Nations League
1–2 1–2 ✓ 10.09.09 10.0
1432м
 +$900 +$1863
26 SEP 18:45 Albania – Belarus UEFA Nations League
1–0 2–0 ✗ 6.066.25 7.15
177м
 $-100 +$963
26 SEP 18:45 Slovakia – Moldova UEFA Nations League
2–0 2–0 ✓ 6.456.25 6.67
929м
 +$545 +$1063
26 SEP 16:00 San Marino – Finland UEFA Nations League
0–3 0–7 ✗ 5.715.88 6.06
1174м
 $-100 +$518
26 SEP 16:00 Faroe Islands – Kazakhstan UEFA Nations League
1–0 1–1 ✗ 7.145.88 7.41
404м
 $-100 +$618
26 SEP 16:00 Iceland – Estonia UEFA Nations League
2–0 1–1 ✗ 6.896.67 7.15
1123м
 $-100 +$718
26 SEP 16:00 Bulgaria – Luxembourg UEFA Nations League
1–0 1–2 ✗ 7.416.67 7.41
1432м
 $-100 +$818
26 SEP 13:00 Slovenia – Scotland UEFA Nations League
1–1 0–0 ✗ 6.676.25 6.89
1315м
 $-100 +$918
25 SEP 18:45 Türkiye – France UEFA Nations League
1–2 0–1 ✗ 8.699.09 9.53
723м
 $-100 +$1018
25 SEP 18:45 Italy – Belgium UEFA Nations League
2–1 0–2 ✗ 10.010.0 10.0
1439м
 $-100 +$1118
25 SEP 18:45 Hungary – Ukraine UEFA Nations League
2–1 0–1 ✗ 10.5311.11 11.11
291м
 $-100 +$1218
25 SEP 18:45 Poland – Bosnia & Herzegovina UEFA Nations League
2–1 0–0 ✗ 9.099.09 9.09
1439м
 $-100 +$1318
25 SEP 18:45 Sweden – Romania UEFA Nations League
2–1 2–1 ✓ 9.099.09 9.09
1439м
 +$809 +$1418
25 SEP 18:45 Montenegro – Cyprus UEFA Nations League
2–1 2–1 ✓ 9.099.09 9.09
1439м
 +$809 +$609
25 SEP 16:00 Georgia – Northern Ireland UEFA Nations League
1–0 0–1 ✗ 6.666.25 6.9
1108м
 $-100 $-200
25 SEP 16:00 Armenia – Latvia UEFA Nations League
2–1 2–0 ✗ 9.529.09 9.52
1437м
 $-100 $-100

«Макс. ставка» — сколько можно влить в этот исход по стакану Polymarket, не сдвинув среднюю цену больше чем на 3% и не съев больше половины глубины (т.е. «не рушить картину»).

В игре — ставка сделана (0)

Открытых ставок нет.

Хит-рейт консенсуса (без денег)

Консенсус угадал
12.5%
12/96 матчей
Лучшая одиночная модель
15.9%
GPT 6 Astra · 7/44
Консенсус vs модели
ниже лучшей
лучше 1 из 8
МатчСчётКонсенсусСогласиеИтог
Scotland – Slovenia UEFA Nations League 1–21–07/7 ✗
Switzerland – FYR Macedonia UEFA Nations League 3–02–05/7 ✗
Luxembourg – Bulgaria UEFA Nations League 0–21–07/7 ✗
Estonia – Iceland UEFA Nations League 0–00–13/7 ✗
Moldova – Slovakia UEFA Nations League 0–40–25/7 ✗
Belarus – Finland UEFA Nations League 1–01–24/7 ✗
Albania – San Marino UEFA Nations League 2–13–07/7 ✗
England – Czechia UEFA Nations League 3–03–05/7 ✓
Croatia – Spain UEFA Nations League 1–21–35/7 ✗
Kazakhstan – Faroe Islands UEFA Nations League 2–21–16/7 ✗
Montenegro – Armenia UEFA Nations League 0–02–17/7 ✗
Romania – Sweden UEFA Nations League 0–11–27/7 ✗
Bosnia & Herzegovina – Poland UEFA Nations League 1–01–26/7 ✗
Northern Ireland – Georgia UEFA Nations League 0–01–07/7 ✗
Ukraine – Hungary UEFA Nations League 1–21–06/7 ✗
Italy – Türkiye UEFA Nations League 3–12–05/7 ✗
France – Belgium UEFA Nations League 4–12–05/7 ✗
Cyprus – Latvia UEFA Nations League 2–11–07/7 ✗
Rep. Of Ireland – Israel UEFA Nations League 1–12–06/7 ✗
Wales – Denmark UEFA Nations League 0–11–24/7 ✗
Portugal – Norway UEFA Nations League 2–12–17/7 ✓
Netherlands – Serbia UEFA Nations League 2–12–04/7 ✗
Greece – Germany UEFA Nations League 0–01–24/7 ✗
Malta – Andorra UEFA Nations League 1–01–04/7 ✓
Kosovo – Austria UEFA Nations League 1–11–27/7 ✗
Azerbaijan – Lithuania UEFA Nations League 1–01–15/7 ✗
FYR Macedonia – Scotland UEFA Nations League 0–20–03/7 ✗
Switzerland – Slovenia UEFA Nations League 2–12–07/7 ✗
Spain – Czechia UEFA Nations League 3–13–05/7 ✗
Estonia – Luxembourg UEFA Nations League 1–00–14/7 ✗
Iceland – Bulgaria UEFA Nations League 3–02–04/7 ✗
Belarus – San Marino UEFA Nations League 4–03–05/7 ✗
Croatia – England UEFA Nations League 0–71–27/7 ✗
Finland – Albania UEFA Nations League 2–11–04/7 ✗
Faroe Islands – Slovakia UEFA Nations League 1–10–27/7 ✗
Bosnia & Herzegovina – Sweden UEFA Nations League 1–11–27/7 ✗
Poland – Romania UEFA Nations League 6–02–17/7 ✗
Ukraine – Northern Ireland UEFA Nations League 0–31–07/7 ✗
Hungary – Georgia UEFA Nations League 1–01–06/7 ✓
Belgium – Türkiye UEFA Nations League 3–02–15/7 ✗
France – Italy UEFA Nations League 1–12–17/7 ✗
Latvia – Montenegro UEFA Nations League 1–20–24/7 ✗
Cyprus – Armenia UEFA Nations League 2–02–16/7 ✗
Kazakhstan – Moldova UEFA Nations League 1–21–05/7 ✗
Malta – Gibraltar UEFA Nations League 1–12–05/7 ✗
Israel – Kosovo UEFA Nations League 0–01–26/7 ✗
Rep. Of Ireland – Austria UEFA Nations League 2–21–26/7 ✗
Wales – Norway UEFA Nations League 2–11–25/7 ✗
Denmark – Portugal UEFA Nations League 2–41–25/7 ✗
Greece – Netherlands UEFA Nations League 2–21–27/7 ✗
Germany – Serbia UEFA Nations League 2–02–13/7 ✗
Azerbaijan – Liechtenstein UEFA Nations League 0–02–07/7 ✗
Slovenia – FYR Macedonia UEFA Nations League 2–01–06/8 ✗
Scotland – Switzerland UEFA Nations League 0–30–14/8 ✗
Luxembourg – Iceland UEFA Nations League 0–31–05/8 ✗
Bulgaria – Estonia UEFA Nations League 0–01–05/8 ✗
Slovakia – Kazakhstan UEFA Nations League 2–12–08/8 ✗
San Marino – Albania UEFA Nations League 0–30–25/8 ✗
Czechia – England UEFA Nations League 0–21–26/8 ✗
Spain – Croatia UEFA Nations League 4–12–08/8 ✗
Moldova – Faroe Islands UEFA Nations League 1–11–15/8 ✓
Finland – Belarus UEFA Nations League 0–02–14/8 ✗
Romania – Bosnia & Herzegovina UEFA Nations League 2–41–05/8 ✗
Sweden – Poland UEFA Nations League 3–12–18/8 ✗
Northern Ireland – Hungary UEFA Nations League 0–01–14/8 ✗
Türkiye – Italy UEFA Nations League 1–40–16/8 ✗
Belgium – France UEFA Nations League 0–11–28/8 ✗
Latvia – Cyprus UEFA Nations League 0–01–14/8 ✗
Armenia – Montenegro UEFA Nations League 2–31–27/8 ✗
Georgia – Ukraine UEFA Nations League 0–01–16/8 ✗
Israel – Rep. Of Ireland UEFA Nations League 0–31–06/8 ✗
Norway – Portugal UEFA Nations League 1–21–25/8 ✓
Germany – Greece UEFA Nations League 0–12–14/8 ✗
Gibraltar – Andorra UEFA Nations League 0–01–05/8 ✗
Austria – Kosovo UEFA Nations League 3–12–18/8 ✗
Denmark – Wales UEFA Nations League 2–02–07/8 ✓
Serbia – Netherlands UEFA Nations League 1–21–25/8 ✓
Lithuania – Azerbaijan UEFA Nations League 1–11–04/8 ✗
FYR Macedonia – Switzerland UEFA Nations League 0–30–28/8 ✗
Slovakia – Moldova UEFA Nations League 2–02–05/8 ✓
Albania – Belarus UEFA Nations League 2–01–05/8 ✗
Czechia – Croatia UEFA Nations League 1–21–28/8 ✓
England – Spain UEFA Nations League 2–31–26/8 ✗
Bulgaria – Luxembourg UEFA Nations League 1–21–07/8 ✗
Iceland – Estonia UEFA Nations League 1–12–05/8 ✗
Faroe Islands – Kazakhstan UEFA Nations League 1–11–08/8 ✗
San Marino – Finland UEFA Nations League 0–70–35/8 ✗
Slovenia – Scotland UEFA Nations League 0–01–16/8 ✗
Montenegro – Cyprus UEFA Nations League 2–12–18/8 ✓
Sweden – Romania UEFA Nations League 2–12–18/8 ✓
Poland – Bosnia & Herzegovina UEFA Nations League 0–02–18/8 ✗
Hungary – Ukraine UEFA Nations League 0–12–15/8 ✗
Italy – Belgium UEFA Nations League 0–22–18/8 ✗
Türkiye – France UEFA Nations League 0–11–28/8 ✗
Armenia – Latvia UEFA Nations League 2–02–16/8 ✗
Georgia – Northern Ireland UEFA Nations League 0–11–04/8 ✗
страница 0.1846 сек (своё 0.1846 + внешние сервисы 0.0000 сек, 0 запрос(ов))