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Консенсус · Точный счёт

Взвешенное голосование всех нейросетей по уверенности: имитация ставок $100/матч (исполнимый кэф) + хит-рейт.

Имитация ставок ($100 на матч)

Оборот (вложено)
$2600
вернулось $3080
Нужный банк (реж. B)
$700
пик капитала · заморозка ~27ч/ставку · оборот ×3.7
Баланс (P&L)
+$480
ROI на банк +68.6% · от оборота 18.5%
Сыграно ставок
26
4 побед · 22 пораж.
Лучший выигрыш
+$953
Sturm Graz — 0–1 @ 10.53
В игре
0
ждут результата
Рынок на Polymarket
26
матчей с рынком
Ставим за ~24ч
+$480
ROI 18.5%
Ставим за ~5 мин
+$649
ROI 25.0%
Лучший момент
+$809
ROI 31.1% · потолок

Сыграно (26)

МатчПрогнозСчётИтогкэф 24чкэф 5минлучшийP&L (24ч)Баланс
26 AUG 22:00 Celje – Slovan Bratislava UEFA Champions League
1–1 1–2 ✗ 6.896.67 7.15
536м
 $-100 +$480
26 AUG 22:00 Viking – Dinamo Zagreb UEFA Champions League
1–2 3–1 ✗ 11.7611.11 11.76
1433м
 $-100 +$580
25 AUG 22:00 Lask Linz – Celtic UEFA Champions League
2–1 5–1 ✗ 10.010.0 10.0
1431м
 $-100 +$680
25 AUG 19:45 Sabah FA – Hapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Champions League
2–1 5–2 ✗ 9.529.09 9.52
1437м
 $-100 +$780
19 AUG 22:00 Celtic – Lask Linz UEFA Champions League
2–1 3–0 ✗ 1.091.04 1.09
1436м
 $-100 +$880
19 AUG 22:00 Hapoel Beer Sheva – Sabah FA UEFA Champions League
1–1 2–1 ✗ 7.157.15 7.41
1205м
 $-100 +$980
19 AUG 22:00 Slovan Bratislava – Celje UEFA Champions League
2–1 1–1 ✗ 9.099.09 9.52
1165м
 $-100 +$1080
18 AUG 22:00 Dinamo Zagreb – Viking UEFA Champions League
2–1 2–2 ✗ 9.099.09 9.52
1414м
 $-100 +$1180
18 AUG 22:00 Fenerbahçe – Lyon UEFA Champions League
1–0 1–1 ✗ 1.041.03 1.04
1434м
 $-100 +$1280
11 AUG 21:30 Sturm Graz – Fenerbahçe UEFA Champions League
0–1 0–1 ✓ 10.5311.11 11.11
1343м
 +$953 +$1380
11 AUG 21:15 Slovan Bratislava – Mjallby AIF UEFA Champions League
2–0 2–0 ✓ 10.011.11 11.11
329м
 +$900 +$427
11 AUG 21:00 FK Crvena Zvezda – Hapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Champions League
2–0 0–2 ✗ 8.698.34 8.69
1434м
 $-100 $-473
11 AUG 20:00 Kauno Žalgiris – Dinamo Zagreb UEFA Champions League
0–2 1–2 ✗ 8.08.34 8.69
1162м
 $-100 $-373
11 AUG 19:00 Sabah FA – Aarhus UEFA Champions League
2–1 4–0 ✗ 10.09.09 10.0
1435м
 $-100 $-273
5 AUG 21:00 Fenerbahçe – Sturm Graz UEFA Champions League
2–0 2–0 ✓ 1.181.18 1.87
197м
 +$18 $-173
5 AUG 20:10 Aarhus – Sabah FA UEFA Champions League
2–1 2–1 ✓ 9.099.09 10.0
258м
 +$809 $-191
4 AUG 21:00 Sparta Praha – Lyon UEFA Champions League
1–2 2–1 ✗ 10.010.0 10.0
1435м
 $-100 $-1000
4 AUG 21:00 Dinamo Zagreb – Kauno Žalgiris UEFA Champions League
2–0 5–0 ✗ 6.455.88 6.45
1435м
 $-100 $-900
4 AUG 20:30 Hapoel Beer Sheva – FK Crvena Zvezda UEFA Champions League
1–2 1–0 ✗ 9.529.09 10.0
1274м
 $-100 $-800
29 JUL 21:00 FK Crvena Zvezda – Larne UEFA Champions League
3–0 5–0 ✗ 7.417.15 7.41
1440м
 $-100 $-700
29 JUL 21:00 Gornik Zabrze – Fenerbahçe UEFA Champions League
0–2 1–1 ✗ 8.09.09 9.09
17м
 $-100 $-600
29 JUL 20:30 Universitatea Craiova – Levski Sofia UEFA Champions League
1–1 2–2 ✗ 9.097.15 9.09
1440м
 $-100 $-500
29 JUL 20:00 Lech Poznan – Aarhus UEFA Champions League
2–0 0–3 ✗ 10.011.11 11.11
248м
 $-100 $-400
28 JUL 21:45 Heart Of Midlothian – Sturm Graz UEFA Champions League
1–2 0–2 ✗ 16.6714.28 16.67
1431м
 $-100 $-300
28 JUL 21:15 Celje – Egnatia Rrogozhinë UEFA Champions League
2–1 1–1 ✗ 9.529.09 9.52
1431м
 $-100 $-200
28 JUL 21:00 Dinamo Zagreb – FC Thun UEFA Champions League
2–0 3–2 ✗ 8.349.09 9.09
30м
 $-100 $-100

«Макс. ставка» — сколько можно влить в этот исход по стакану Polymarket, не сдвинув среднюю цену больше чем на 3% и не съев больше половины глубины (т.е. «не рушить картину»).

В игре — ставка сделана (0)

Открытых ставок нет.

Хит-рейт консенсуса (без денег)

Консенсус угадал
14.6%
7/48 матчей
Лучшая одиночная модель
16.7%
GPT 5.6 · 8/48
Консенсус vs модели
ниже лучшей
лучше 5 из 7
МатчСчётКонсенсусСогласиеИтог
Viking – Dinamo Zagreb UEFA Champions League 3–11–23/7 ✗
Lyon – Fenerbahçe UEFA Champions League 1–22–17/7 ✗
AEK Athens FC – Levski Sofia UEFA Champions League 4–02–05/7 ✗
Celje – Slovan Bratislava UEFA Champions League 1–21–15/7 ✗
Bodo/Glimt – NEC Nijmegen UEFA Champions League 3–02–17/7 ✗
Lask Linz – Celtic UEFA Champions League 5–12–15/7 ✗
Sabah FA – Hapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Champions League 5–22–17/7 ✗
Slovan Bratislava – Celje UEFA Champions League 1–12–15/7 ✗
NEC Nijmegen – Bodo/Glimt UEFA Champions League 1–31–26/7 ✗
Hapoel Beer Sheva – Sabah FA UEFA Champions League 2–11–14/7 ✗
Celtic – Lask Linz UEFA Champions League 3–02–17/7 ✗
Levski Sofia – AEK Athens FC UEFA Champions League 0–01–23/7 ✗
Fenerbahçe – Lyon UEFA Champions League 1–11–03/7 ✗
Dinamo Zagreb – Viking UEFA Champions League 2–22–15/7 ✗
Lyon – Sparta Praha UEFA Champions League 3–02–17/7 ✗
Sturm Graz – Fenerbahçe UEFA Champions League 0–10–14/7 ✓
Slovan Bratislava – Mjallby AIF UEFA Champions League 2–02–04/7 ✓
Celje – Ararat-Armenia UEFA Champions League 2–02–17/7 ✗
FK Crvena Zvezda – Hapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Champions League 0–22–06/7 ✗
NEC Nijmegen – Olympiakos Piraeus UEFA Champions League 2–11–16/7 ✗
Kauno Žalgiris – Dinamo Zagreb UEFA Champions League 1–20–25/7 ✗
Sabah FA – Aarhus UEFA Champions League 4–02–16/7 ✗
Bodo/Glimt – Union St. Gilloise UEFA Champions League 3–22–17/7 ✗
Kairat Almaty – Levski Sofia UEFA Champions League 0–11–14/7 ✗
Fenerbahçe – Sturm Graz UEFA Champions League 2–02–05/8 ✓
Aarhus – Sabah FA UEFA Champions League 2–12–17/8 ✓
Dinamo Zagreb – Kauno Žalgiris UEFA Champions League 5–02–08/8 ✗
Sparta Praha – Lyon UEFA Champions League 2–11–27/8 ✗
Union St. Gilloise – Bodo/Glimt UEFA Champions League 3–32–14/8 ✗
Olympiakos Piraeus – NEC Nijmegen UEFA Champions League 0–02–14/8 ✗
Levski Sofia – Kairat Almaty UEFA Champions League 1–02–06/8 ✗
Hapoel Beer Sheva – FK Crvena Zvezda UEFA Champions League 1–01–24/8 ✗
Mjallby AIF – Slovan Bratislava UEFA Champions League 1–21–04/8 ✗
Ararat-Armenia – Celje UEFA Champions League 2–11–13/8 ✗
Slovan Bratislava – FC Iberia 1999 UEFA Champions League 1–12–08/8 ✗
Gornik Zabrze – Fenerbahçe UEFA Champions League 1–10–26/8 ✗
FK Crvena Zvezda – Larne UEFA Champions League 5–03–05/8 ✗
Universitatea Craiova – Levski Sofia UEFA Champions League 2–21–12/8 ✗
Hapoel Beer Sheva – Vikingur Reykjavik UEFA Champions League 2–02–18/8 ✗
Lech Poznan – Aarhus UEFA Champions League 0–32–04/8 ✗
Kauno Žalgiris – KI Klaksvik UEFA Champions League 1–01–05/8 ✓
Kairat Almaty – Omonia Nicosia UEFA Champions League 1–01–04/8 ✓
Shamrock Rovers – Ararat-Armenia UEFA Champions League 2–12–18/8 ✓
Heart Of Midlothian – Sturm Graz UEFA Champions League 0–21–24/8 ✗
Celje – Egnatia Rrogozhinë UEFA Champions League 1–12–18/8 ✗
Dinamo Zagreb – FC Thun UEFA Champions League 3–22–05/8 ✗
Lincoln Red Imps FC – Mjallby AIF UEFA Champions League 0–01–26/8 ✗
KuPS – Sabah FA UEFA Champions League 0–21–24/8 ✗