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Консенсус · Исход

Взвешенное голосование всех нейросетей по уверенности: имитация ставок $100/матч (исполнимый кэф) + хит-рейт.

Имитация ставок ($100 на матч)

Оборот (вложено)

$10700

вернулось $10227

Нужный банк (реж. B)

$1,100

пик капитала · заморозка ~27ч/ставку · оборот ×9.7

Баланс (P&L)

$-473

ROI на банк -43.0% · от оборота -4.4%

Сыграно ставок

107

47 побед · 60 пораж.

Лучший выигрыш

+$284

Cardiff — Ничья @ 3.84

В игре

ждут результата

Рынок на Polymarket

109

матчей с рынком

Ставим за ~24ч

$-473

ROI -4.4%

Ставим за ~5 мин

$-529

ROI -4.9%

Лучший момент

$-179

ROI -1.7% · потолок

Сыграно (107)

Матч	Прогноз	Счёт	Итог	кэф 24ч	кэф 5мин	лучший	P&L (24ч)	Баланс
24 OCT 14:00 Blackburn – Wrexham England — Championship	Blackburn	2–0	✓	2.82	3.13	3.18 13м	+$182	$-473
24 OCT 14:00 Cardiff – Birmingham England — Championship	Birmingham	1–0	✗	2.44	2.57	2.78 85м	$-100	$-655
24 OCT 14:00 Lincoln – Burnley England — Championship	Burnley	4–1	✗	2.5	2.57	2.63 1183м	$-100	$-555
24 OCT 14:00 Preston – West Brom England — Championship	West Brom	1–1	✗	2.04	1.96	2.13 1244м	$-100	$-455
24 OCT 14:00 Stoke City – Bristol City England — Championship	Stoke City	0–0	✗	2.5	2.44	2.63 451м	$-100	$-355
24 OCT 14:00 West Ham – Southampton England — Championship	West Ham	2–3	✗	1.75	1.75	1.75 1439м	$-100	$-255
24 OCT 14:00 Wolves – Watford England — Championship	Wolves	1–0	✓	1.41	1.49	1.49 13м	+$41	$-155
24 OCT 11:30 Charlton – Norwich England — Championship	Ничья	1–3	✗	3.57	3.57	3.57 1432м	$-100	$-196
24 OCT 11:30 Portsmouth – Millwall England — Championship	Ничья	2–1	✗	3.45	3.45	3.45 1432м	$-100	$-96
23 OCT 19:00 Bolton – Middlesbrough England — Championship	Middlesbrough	1–5	✓	1.67	1.52	1.7 657м	+$67	+$4
20 OCT 18:45 Wolves – Portsmouth England — Championship	Wolves	1–1	✗	1.64	1.64	1.64 624м	$-100	$-63
14 OCT 19:00 Lincoln – West Ham England — Championship	West Ham	0–6	✓	1.72	1.78	1.78 36м	+$72	+$37
14 OCT 18:45 Norwich – Southampton England — Championship	Southampton	0–1	✓	2.78	3.03	3.12 21м	+$178	$-35
14 OCT 18:45 Portsmouth – Sheffield Utd England — Championship	Sheffield Utd	3–2	✗	3.45	2.95	3.45 1424м	$-100	$-213
13 OCT 19:00 Birmingham – Preston England — Championship	Birmingham	4–0	✓	1.59	1.49	1.59 565м	+$59	$-113
13 OCT 19:00 Stoke City – Middlesbrough England — Championship	Middlesbrough	2–3	✓	2.09	1.96	2.09 565м	+$109	$-172
13 OCT 18:45 Bristol City – Blackburn England — Championship	Bristol City	0–1	✗	2.18	2.27	2.27 56м	$-100	$-281
13 OCT 18:45 Burnley – Charlton England — Championship	Burnley	2–2	✗	1.67	1.67	1.67 550м	$-100	$-181
13 OCT 18:45 Cardiff – Watford England — Championship	Cardiff	5–1	✓	1.7	1.7	1.7 550м	+$70	$-81
13 OCT 18:45 Millwall – Swansea England — Championship	Millwall	0–1	✗	2.5	2.44	2.5 550м	$-100	$-151
13 OCT 18:45 Wolves – Bolton England — Championship	Wolves	1–3	✗	1.43	1.41	1.43 550м	$-100	$-51
13 OCT 18:45 Wrexham – West Brom England — Championship	Wrexham	1–2	✗	2.38	2.27	2.38 550м	$-100	+$49
11 OCT 11:00 Southampton – Portsmouth England — Championship	Southampton	1–0	✓	1.66	1.56	1.66 1433м	+$66	+$149
10 OCT 14:00 Blackburn – Cardiff England — Championship	Blackburn	2–1	✓	2.86	2.78	3.03 559м	+$186	+$83
10 OCT 14:00 Bolton – Stoke City England — Championship	Stoke City	1–2	✓	2.63	2.63	2.7 81м	+$163	$-103
10 OCT 14:00 Derby – Wrexham England — Championship	Wrexham	1–1	✗	2.53	2.63	2.63 10м	$-100	$-266
10 OCT 14:00 Middlesbrough – Wolves England — Championship	Middlesbrough	1–0	✓	2.27	2.18	2.27 1412м	+$127	$-166
10 OCT 14:00 Preston – Millwall England — Championship	Millwall	0–1	✓	2.44	2.38	2.44 1412м	+$144	$-293
10 OCT 14:00 Sheffield Utd – Lincoln England — Championship	Sheffield Utd	3–0	✓	2.22	2.18	2.32 1169м	+$122	$-437
10 OCT 14:00 Watford – Burnley England — Championship	Burnley	0–4	✓	2.44	2.38	2.63 426м	+$144	$-559
10 OCT 11:30 Charlton – Bristol City England — Championship	Bristol City	1–1	✗	2.38	2.38	2.38 1425м	$-100	$-703
10 OCT 11:30 Swansea – Norwich England — Championship	Swansea	2–1	✓	2.38	2.44	2.44 337м	+$138	$-603
10 OCT 11:30 West Brom – Birmingham England — Championship	Ничья	0–1	✗	3.45	3.33	3.45 1425м	$-100	$-741
20 SEP 12:30 Norwich – Bolton England — Championship	Norwich	3–4	✗	1.52	1.45	1.52 1432м	$-100	$-641
19 SEP 14:00 Birmingham – Middlesbrough England — Championship	Middlesbrough	2–2	✗	2.44	2.5	2.57 474м	$-100	$-541
19 SEP 14:00 Burnley – Derby England — Championship	Burnley	1–1	✗	1.85	1.88	1.88 494м	$-100	$-441
19 SEP 14:00 Lincoln – Swansea England — Championship	Swansea	1–2	✓	2.57	2.44	2.57 1439м	+$157	$-341
19 SEP 14:00 Portsmouth – Blackburn England — Championship	Portsmouth	2–2	✗	2.22	2.27	2.27 31м	$-100	$-498
19 SEP 14:00 Wrexham – Southampton England — Championship	Southampton	2–1	✗	2.38	2.63	2.63 21м	$-100	$-398
19 SEP 11:30 Cardiff – Charlton England — Championship	Cardiff	3–1	✓	1.85	1.72	1.85 1440м	+$85	$-298
19 SEP 11:30 Millwall – West Ham England — Championship	West Ham	2–2	✗	1.81	1.72	1.85 1259м	$-100	$-383
19 SEP 11:30 Stoke City – Sheffield Utd England — Championship	Stoke City	2–1	✓	2.5	2.38	2.5 1440м	+$150	$-283
18 SEP 19:00 Bristol City – Watford England — Championship	Bristol City	1–0	✓	1.92	1.78	1.92 1436м	+$92	$-433
15 SEP 18:45 Bristol City – Lincoln England — Championship	Bristol City	0–1	✗	2.04	1.92	2.04 1434м	$-100	$-525
15 SEP 18:45 Middlesbrough – Millwall England — Championship	Middlesbrough	2–2	✗	1.62	1.45	1.62 1434м	$-100	$-425
12 SEP 14:00 Blackburn – Millwall England — Championship	Millwall	3–1	✗	2.57	2.95	2.95 66м	$-100	$-325
12 SEP 14:00 Charlton – Portsmouth England — Championship	Portsmouth	0–0	✗	2.63	2.78	2.86 528м	$-100	$-225
12 SEP 14:00 Middlesbrough – Norwich England — Championship	Middlesbrough	4–3	✓	1.88	1.92	1.92 136м	+$88	$-125
12 SEP 14:00 Preston – Lincoln England — Championship	Preston	0–1	✗	2.38	2.57	2.57 26м	$-100	$-213
12 SEP 14:00 Southampton – Bristol City England — Championship	Southampton	4–1	✓	1.7	1.75	1.75 46м	+$70	$-113
12 SEP 14:00 Swansea – Burnley England — Championship	Swansea	3–1	✓	2.13	2.13	2.18 448м	+$113	$-183
12 SEP 14:00 Watford – Stoke City England — Championship	Ничья	1–2	✗	3.45	3.45	3.45 1001м	$-100	$-296
12 SEP 11:30 Bolton – Cardiff England — Championship	Cardiff	1–0	✗	2.63	2.5	2.63 1437м	$-100	$-196
12 SEP 11:30 Derby – Birmingham England — Championship	Birmingham	1–2	✓	2.22	2.27	2.27 46м	+$122	$-96
11 SEP 19:00 West Ham – Wrexham England — Championship	West Ham	6–0	✓	1.62	1.54	1.67 780м	+$62	$-218
9 SEP 18:45 Derby – West Brom England — Championship	West Brom	0–1	✓	2.44	2.27	2.44 1436м	+$144	$-280
9 SEP 18:45 Norwich – Birmingham England — Championship	Norwich	2–1	✓	2.0	2.0	2.0 1436м	+$100	$-424
8 SEP 19:00 Bolton – West Ham England — Championship	West Ham	2–3	✓	1.7	1.75	1.78 61м	+$70	$-524
8 SEP 18:45 Blackburn – Sheffield Utd England — Championship	Sheffield Utd	1–2	✓	2.44	2.44	2.44 1438м	+$144	$-594
8 SEP 18:45 Cardiff – Stoke City England — Championship	Ничья	1–1	✓	3.84	3.7	3.84 1438м	+$284	$-738
8 SEP 18:45 Southampton – Swansea England — Championship	Southampton	3–1	✓	1.92	1.88	1.96 854м	+$92	$-1022
8 SEP 18:45 Watford – Preston England — Championship	Ничья	2–1	✗	3.57	3.45	3.57 1438м	$-100	$-1114
8 SEP 18:45 Wrexham – Burnley England — Championship	Wrexham	1–1	✗	2.09	2.18	2.18 844м	$-100	$-1014
5 SEP 19:00 Swansea – Wrexham England — Championship	Swansea	0–0	✗	2.44	2.38	2.5 117м	$-100	$-914
5 SEP 14:00 Burnley – Bristol City England — Championship	Burnley	1–2	✗	1.96	2.04	2.04 60м	$-100	$-814
5 SEP 14:00 Millwall – Bolton England — Championship	Millwall	4–0	✓	2.0	2.0	2.04 556м	+$100	$-714
5 SEP 14:00 Portsmouth – Cardiff England — Championship	Portsmouth	2–0	✓	2.44	2.5	2.5 20м	+$144	$-814
5 SEP 14:00 West Ham – Derby England — Championship	West Ham	3–0	✓	1.43	1.37	1.43 888м	+$43	$-958
5 SEP 11:30 Lincoln – Southampton England — Championship	Southampton	1–1	✗	1.85	1.81	1.85 1437м	$-100	$-1001
5 SEP 11:30 Preston – Blackburn England — Championship	Blackburn	2–1	✗	3.12	3.23	3.23 41м	$-100	$-901
5 SEP 11:30 Stoke City – Charlton England — Championship	Stoke City	4–0	✓	2.22	2.09	2.22 1437м	+$122	$-801
2 SEP 19:00 Burnley – Middlesbrough England — Championship	Middlesbrough	1–1	✗	2.57	2.18	2.57 1343м	$-100	$-923
2 SEP 18:45 Millwall – Wrexham England — Championship	Millwall	0–3	✗	2.27	2.38	2.38 268м	$-100	$-823
1 SEP 19:00 Birmingham – Southampton England — Championship	Southampton	1–1	✗	2.86	2.57	2.86 1437м	$-100	$-723
1 SEP 19:00 Stoke City – Norwich England — Championship	Norwich	1–0	✗	2.38	2.22	2.38 1437м	$-100	$-623
1 SEP 18:45 Lincoln – Blackburn England — Championship	Lincoln	0–0	✗	2.38	2.44	2.44 242м	$-100	$-523
1 SEP 18:45 Portsmouth – Derby England — Championship	Portsmouth	0–2	✗	2.27	2.13	2.32 1220м	$-100	$-423
1 SEP 18:45 Preston – Bristol City England — Championship	Bristol City	1–3	✓	2.86	2.57	2.86 1433м	+$186	$-323
1 SEP 18:45 Swansea – Watford England — Championship	Swansea	2–0	✓	1.96	1.92	1.96 1433м	+$96	$-509
29 AUG 14:00 Bolton – Lincoln England — Championship	Bolton	0–1	✗	2.57	2.57	2.63 159м	$-100	$-605
29 AUG 14:00 Bristol City – Portsmouth England — Championship	Bristol City	2–1	✓	2.27	2.22	2.27 1020м	+$127	$-505
29 AUG 14:00 Cardiff – Sheffield Utd England — Championship	Ничья	2–2	✓	3.7	3.84	3.84 57м	+$270	$-632
29 AUG 14:00 Charlton – Preston England — Championship	Charlton	1–0	✓	2.18	2.18	2.18 760м	+$118	$-902
29 AUG 14:00 Norwich – Burnley England — Championship	Norwich	4–1	✓	2.32	2.09	2.32 780м	+$132	$-1020
29 AUG 14:00 Southampton – Millwall England — Championship	Southampton	5–1	✓	2.04	2.04	2.04 750м	+$104	$-1152
29 AUG 14:00 Watford – West Ham England — Championship	West Ham	1–1	✗	1.88	1.78	1.88 780м	$-100	$-1256
29 AUG 11:30 Derby – Swansea England — Championship	Derby	0–3	✗	2.44	2.44	2.44 1432м	$-100	$-1156
29 AUG 11:30 Middlesbrough – West Brom England — Championship	Middlesbrough	3–1	✓	1.81	1.78	1.81 1432м	+$81	$-1056
28 AUG 19:00 Wrexham – Birmingham England — Championship	Wrexham	1–2	✗	2.5	2.27	2.5 1439м	$-100	$-1137
22 AUG 14:00 Blackburn – Middlesbrough England — Championship	Middlesbrough	2–1	✗	2.18	2.04	2.18 1208м	$-100	$-1037
22 AUG 14:00 Derby – Cardiff England — Championship	Derby	2–2	✗	2.0	2.22	2.22 50м	$-100	$-937
22 AUG 14:00 Southampton – Stoke City England — Championship	Southampton	3–1	✓	1.67	1.67	1.67 1439м	+$67	$-837
22 AUG 14:00 Swansea – Sheffield Utd England — Championship	Swansea	0–0	✗	2.5	2.7	2.7 19м	$-100	$-904
22 AUG 14:00 West Ham – Charlton England — Championship	West Ham	1–2	✗	1.39	1.43	1.45 737м	$-100	$-804
22 AUG 14:00 Wrexham – Watford England — Championship	Wrexham	1–1	✗	1.94	1.85	1.94 1319м	$-100	$-704
22 AUG 11:30 Birmingham – Bristol City England — Championship	Birmingham	2–2	✗	1.85	1.75	1.85 1440м	$-100	$-604
22 AUG 11:30 Lincoln – Portsmouth England — Championship	Lincoln	1–3	✗	2.5	2.44	2.5 1440м	$-100	$-504
22 AUG 11:30 Millwall – Norwich England — Championship	Millwall	3–0	✓	2.27	2.86	2.86 11м	+$127	$-404
17 AUG 19:00 Cardiff – Wrexham England — Championship	Cardiff	1–1	✗	2.57	2.57	2.63 964м	$-100	$-531
16 AUG 15:00 Burnley – West Ham England — Championship	West Ham	2–2	✗	2.32	2.32	2.38 20м	$-100	$-431
16 AUG 12:30 Watford – Southampton England — Championship	Southampton	2–1	✗	2.13	2.04	2.13 1013м	$-100	$-331
15 AUG 14:00 Bristol City – Millwall England — Championship	Ничья	0–2	✗	3.45	3.45	3.45 1439м	$-100	$-231
15 AUG 14:00 Charlton – Derby England — Championship	Ничья	2–1	✗	3.33	3.23	3.33 1439м	$-100	$-131
15 AUG 14:00 Middlesbrough – Lincoln England — Championship	Middlesbrough	2–1	✓	1.37	1.54	1.54 8м	+$37	$-31
15 AUG 14:00 Norwich – West Brom England — Championship	Norwich	1–2	✗	2.04	2.04	2.04 1439м	$-100	$-68
15 AUG 14:00 Stoke City – Swansea England — Championship	Stoke City	1–2	✗	2.5	2.38	2.5 1439м	$-100	+$32
15 AUG 11:30 Bolton – Preston England — Championship	Bolton	2–1	✓	2.32	2.44	2.44 18м	+$132	+$132

«Макс. ставка» — сколько можно влить в этот исход по стакану Polymarket, не сдвинув среднюю цену больше чем на 3% и не съев больше половины глубины (т.е. «не рушить картину»).

В игре — ставка сделана (0)

Открытых ставок нет.